Monday, January 28, 2013

2012 Annual Letter to Investors

Our portfolio gained 16.41% in 2012. Here are our returns since 2009i:

Return
S&P1
Difference
HFRX2
Difference
2009
50.92%
26.46%
24.46%
13.40%
37.52%
2010
18.83%
15.06%
3.77%
5.19%
13.64%
2011
2.28%
2.05%
0.23%
-8.88%
11.16%
2012
16.41%
16.00%
0.41%
3.51%
12.90%
CAGR3
17.06%
14.56%
2.50%
2.99%
14.07%

And here is how $100,000 would have compounded versus those two benchmarks if it was invested at the end of 2008:


Compared to the hedge fund universe at large (HFRX), we have done well. But compared with the S&P, we have done just okay.

As erstwhile Buffett lieutenant David Sokol once said, I am pleased but not satisfied. With the exception of 2009, our investments have tracked the S&P 500 very closely. In fact, one might draw the conclusion that I am “index hugging”. To value investors, including myself, that is a pejorative. So while I am pleased we have not had a down year (yet) and I am pleased we have outperformed the S&P (if only by a slim margin these past few years), I am not satisfied. My goal is to outperform by a bigger margin.

***

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1This is the total return of the S&P 500, including if dividends were reinvested.
2The specific index here is the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index, widely used index to praise or pan hedge funds in the press.
3CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate. Note that our 17.06% return is actually an IRR (explained in footnote 4) from 2009-2012 rather than a simple CAGR, which would have been a more inflated 20.88%.